South Fork Tolt River Near Carnation
South Fork Tolt River · Pacific NW · USGS gage 12148000
Coldwater (summer mean 11.6°C — prime coldwater).
Water
51°F
Flow
58 cfs
Air
42°F
Sky
88%
Pressure
29.94 in
Wind
5 mph
Predicted hatches · 2026-10-30
PredictedBlue-Winged OliveBaetis spp.1.00
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 10.5°C (51°F) sits in the prime band (6-11°C); peak season; 8 days sustained ≥4°C; overcast skies favor it; watch midday, especially overcast afternoons.
flies: BWO Sparkle Dun #18-22, RS2, Pheasant Tail #18
PredictedMidgeChironomidae0.46
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 10.5°C (51°F) is cooling past the prime band (1-10°C); shoulder of the season; 8 days sustained ≥0°C; watch midday, especially cold months.
flies: Zebra Midge #18-22, Griffith's Gnat, Disco Midge
PREDICTED from the first-principles model only. Report-confirmed signal (fly-shop & forum reports) is the next milestone.