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Hatch predictions for 300+ US rivers — built from live water & weather, then confirmed against real fly-shop reports.

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Roaring Fork River below Maroon Creek near Aspen

Roaring Fork River · Rockies · USGS gage 09076300

Coldwater (summer mean 11.9°C — prime coldwater).

Water
60°F
Flow
102 cfs
Air
71°F
Sky
0%
Pressure
29.83 in
Wind
6 mph
Predicted hatches · 2026-07-31
PredictedPale Morning DunEphemerella spp.1.00
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 15.8°C (60°F) sits in the prime band (13-18°C); peak season; 8 days sustained ≥12°C; watch late morning to early afternoon.
flies: PMD Comparadun #16-18, Sparkle Dun, Pheasant Tail #16
PredictedGolden StoneHesperoperla / Calineuria1.00
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 15.8°C (60°F) sits in the prime band (14-18°C); peak season; 8 days sustained ≥13°C; watch afternoon and evening.
flies: Chubby Chernobyl #8-10, Yellow Stimulator, Pat's Rubber Legs
PredictedSpotted / Summer CaddisHydropsyche spp.1.00
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 15.8°C (60°F) sits in the prime band (14-19°C); peak season; 8 days sustained ≥12°C; watch evening, last hour of light.
flies: Elk Hair Caddis #14-16, Iris Caddis, X-Caddis
PredictedSlate Drake / IsonychiaIsonychia spp.0.72
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 15.8°C (60°F) is warming toward the prime band (16-21°C); peak season; 1 day sustained ≥14°C (wants 2); watch afternoon/evening; nymphs crawl to shore to emerge.
flies: Isonychia #10-12, Slate Drake, Leadwing Coachman
PredictedSalmonflyPteronarcys californica0.50
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 15.8°C (60°F) sits in the prime band (13-16°C); shoulder of the season; 8 days sustained ≥12°C; watch late morning through evening.
flies: Rogue Foam Salmonfly #4-6, Chubby Chernobyl, Pat's Rubber Legs
PredictedSulphurEphemerella dorothea / invaria0.50
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 15.8°C (60°F) sits in the prime band (15-19°C); shoulder of the season; 8 days sustained ≥13°C; watch evening, the last two hours of light.
flies: Sulphur Comparadun #16-18, Sulphur Spinner, Pheasant Tail
PredictedGreen DrakeDrunella spp.0.37
Predicted by conditions; no reports yet. water 15.8°C (60°F) is cooling past the prime band (11-15°C); shoulder of the season; 8 days sustained ≥10°C; watch midday, often cloudy.
flies: Green Drake Parachute #10-12, Cripple, Hares Ear #10
PredictedTricoTricorythodes spp.0.24
water 15.8°C (60°F) is warming toward the prime band (16-21°C); shoulder of the season; watch early morning spinner falls.
flies: Trico Spinner #20-24, CDC Trico, Griffith's Gnat
PredictedHopper / TerrestrialsAcrididae (grasshoppers)0.24
water 15.8°C (60°F) is warming toward the prime band (17-24°C); shoulder of the season; 1 day sustained ≥14°C (wants 2); watch warm, breezy afternoons.
flies: Morrish Hopper #8-12, Chubby Chernobyl, Dave's Hopper
PredictedLight CahillStenacron / Stenonema0.24
water 15.8°C (60°F) is warming toward the prime band (16-20°C); shoulder of the season; watch dusk.
flies: Light Cahill #14-16, Cream Cahill, Cahill Spinner

PREDICTED from the first-principles model only. Report-confirmed signal (fly-shop & forum reports) is the next milestone.